Gold Cup Preview: Kauto, Long Run and Burton Port?
It’s Kauto Star vs Long Run if you believe the hype, and yes, it probably is. They’re the best two we’ve got, and it would be just magic if Kauto Star were to win the Gold Cup as a 12-year-old. Long Run, logically, should win it - he should overturn the form between the two this season, partly because Kauto Star has that niggling doubt from a recent run-out.
But is Long Run still as good as he was last year? He’s started to look lazy, but maybe the Cheltenham roar will rouse his spirits. There’s every chance that this may be one Gold Cup too many for Kauto Star, and if we’re to believe the trends, then only a previous winner can overturn the pattern that 6 to 9 year olds win this race.
And all of this hype is taking us away from the rest of the field, and we’re looking at Burton Port, who came a close second to Long Run in the Denman Chase last month. It was a brave finish, and you got the impression that there’s more to come from Nicky Henderson’s other entry. With Long Run not having the season people had expected of him, and Kauto Star getting on a little bit, Burton Port has a better chance than people have been giving him credit.
The only doubt we have is over Burton Port’s jumping credentials - while not necessarily much of a faller, he does have a habit of hitting the fences and having to work a little extra to get back into contention - but get back into contention he usually does. This Gold Cup could be the making of him, and you can get 15/2 for the win, but a safer bet would be the 15/8 place bet.
In other races, we like Boston Bob a lot, and he’s going in the Albert Bartlett at 2:40. He’s got the stamina as his maiden race showed, and three wins this season put him right at the top of the betting. He’s worth favouritism, and he’s worth a penny or two.
If you follow my personal account on Twitter (@clevergareth), then you’ll know that I went big on Sunnyhillboy, so woohoo for me, and another former National horse, Cloudy Lane, is going in the 4:00 Foxhunter Chase this Friday. National finishers always get a tick from me, and I’ve always liked Cloudy Lane - he’s no shoo-in - the race is wide-open, but he’s going to get a few pounds each-way from me.
published: 15th March 2012 by Free Bet Bookmaker
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